Free Betting Tips Trends Cheat Sheet – MLB Baseball

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Thursday, July 3, 2008

LAST UPDATE: THURSDAY AT 10:30 AM ET

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PLAYS OF THE DAY ON 12-3-1 RUN

MLB: All Matchups | News/Injury Wire | Best Lines | Pro Picks

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees

[7:05 PM ET] | Full Matchup

Pitching Tips	Top Trends	Key Injuries
Red Sox: Jon Lester had been pitching marvelously until his last outing versus the Astros. Thanks to the Sox scoring 11 runs, Lester received a no-decision despite allowing six runs over five innings. Before that poor performance, Lester had allowed three runs or less in seven of his previous eight outings. Lester has been a different pitcher away from Fenway Park, going 2-2 with an ERA of 4.66. PROJECTED SCORE: 4	Red Sox are 3-10 in their last 13 games as an underdog. Red Sox are 20-6 in Lester's last 26 starts on grass.	OF Coco Crisp (.270; suspension) is expected to return. RP Mike Timlin (3-3; knee) is expected to come off the 15-day DL.
Yankees (-115, O/U 9.5): There aren't many pitchers in baseball hotter than Andy Pettitte at the moment. Pettitte has won four straight starts, allowing just three runs over 27 innings of work. As usual, control has been key to Pettitte's success. He has given out only 26 walks in 106.1 innings pitched this season. The veteran has actually been much better away from Yankee Stadium. He's just 3-3 with a 4.59 ERA at home this season. The UNDER is 3-1 in Pettitte's last four starts. PROJECTED SCORE: 5	The UNDER is 11-3 in Pettitte's last 14 home starts. The UNDER is 6-2 in New York's last 8 home games.	NONE
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Chicago Cubs at San Francisco Giants

[7:05 PM ET] | Full Matchup

Pitching Tips	Top Trends	Key Injuries
Cubs: The Cubs have lost four straight games with Sean Gallagher on the mound. However, Gallagher has been a victim of poor run support in some of those outings. If you are backing the Cubs tonight, expect the bullpen to play a major role in the outcome. In his nine starts this year, Gallagher has only reached the seventh inning once. He's been awful on the road, going 0-3 with a 4.99 ERA in five starts. The UNDER is 5-2 in Gallagher's last seven starts. PROJECTED SCORE: 3	Cubs are 2-7 in their last 9 road games. The OVER is 7-2 in Chicago's last 9 games overall.	3B Aramis Ramirez (.289; personal) is expected to return. OF Reed Johnson (.271; back) is on the 15-day DL. OF Alfonso Soriano (.283; broken hand) is on the 15-day DL.
Giants (-135, O/U 7.5): After allowing nine runs in his prior two starts, Tim Lincecum was back to his dominant self in most recent outing against Oakland. Lincecum pitched seven scoreless innings while striking out 11. In seven starts at home this season, Lincecum has only factored in three decisions, going 2-1 with a 3.06 ERA. He's faced the Cubs twice in his short career, limiting them to a .146 batting average against him. PROJECTED SCORE: 4	Giants are 5-17 in their last 22 home games. Giants are 6-2 in Lincecum's last 8 starts overall.	NONE
58% of the public is on the Cubs according to Sportsbook Spy!

New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals

[8:15 PM ET] | Full Matchup

Pitching Tips	Top Trends	Key Injuries
Mets: After getting hammered early in the year, Mike Pelfrey has rebounded to become one of the Mets most consistent pitchers. New York has won four straight games with Pelfrey on the hill, and he's allowed two runs or less six times over his last 10 starts. Even though Pelfrey has a winning record on the road (3-2) his ERA is an unimpressive 6.38, with opposing teams hitting a whopping .353 against him. Two of Pelfrey's last three starts have gone way OVER the total. PROJECTED SCORE: 5	Mets are 9-3 in their last 12 games as an underdog. The OVER is 10-4-4 in New York's last 18 games as an underdog.	2B Luis Castillo (.261; quad) is day-to-day.
Cardinals (-120, O/U 9): Young Mitchell Boggs has added another strong arm to the Cardinals starting rotation. Boggs has won three of his four starts this season, allowing 10 runs over 20.1 innings of work. However, he was hit hard in his one start at home versus the Phillies, allowing four runs in just 4.1 innings. He took a no-decision in that game, as the Cards outscored Philly, 7-6. The OVER is 3-1 in Boggs' starts this season. PROJECTED SCORE: 6 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)	Cardinals are 17-7 in the last 24 meetings at St. Louis. The OVER is 10-4-1 in St. Louis' last 15 games as a favorite.	SS Cesar Izturis (.241; hamstring) is on the 15-day DL.
58% of the public is on the Cardinals according to Sportsbook Spy!

Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners

[10:10 PM ET] | Full Matchup

Pitching Tips	Top Trends	Key Injuries
Tigers (-140, O/U 8.5): Justin Verlander continues to pitch well of late. In his last 10 outings, Verlander has allowed three runs or less eight times. He's pitching much better than his 4-9 record would indicate. While he's righted the ship recently, Verlander has been miserable on the road this season, going 1-5 with a 5.11 ERA in seven starts. The UNDER is 6-3-1 in Verlander's last 10 starts. PROJECTED SCORE: 6 (Side Play of the Day)	Tigers are 23-5 in their last 28 games as a favorite. Tigers are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings at Seattle.	3B Miguel Cabrera (.280; hip) is day-to-day. OF Magglio Ordonez (.307; oblique) is on the 15-day DL.
Mariners: The good news for Carlos Silva is that he finally got a win his last time out. The bad news is he lost seven consecutive starts prior to that win. Silva has allowed four runs or more six times in his last 10 starts. Three times over that span, he gave up seven runs. He's 2-4 at home this season with an ERA of 5.44. Silva hasn't gone past the fourth inning four times in his last 10 appearances. PROJECTED SCORE: 3	Mariners are 3-10 in their last 13 home games. Mariners are 1-7 in Silva's last 8 starts.	RP J.J. Putz (7 saves; elbow) is on the 15-day DL.
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